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Education Department final rule ties federal aid to graduate earnings

Students may lose federal aid for college programs that fail to show graduates earn more than peers without the credential under a new US rule.

A political cartoon of a brick government building with a large banner claiming grads must earn over $36K a year, while a sad graduate in a cap and gown sits on the curb holding a diploma. A roadside sign reads 'Degree in hand, still looking for a job paying >$36K'. A street sign on a lamppost notes July 2026 and 'Two years left to prove it!'
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WASHINGTON, July 21 (DC Times Online) — The U.S. Department of Education says it has issued a final rule that will make colleges and universities more accountable for programs that leave students with weak earnings after graduation. The new framework, called the Student Tuition and Transparency System and Earnings Accountability rule, expands federal oversight of nearly all degree and certificate programs that participate in student aid.

At its core, the rule asks a simple question: do graduates of a program earn more than people who never got that credential?

What the new rule does

Under the Education Department’s rule, undergraduate programs must show that their graduates earn more than the typical high school diploma holder. Graduate programs must show that their graduates earn more than the typical bachelor’s degree holder, according to the department’s press release and the regulatory text.

If a program fails that earnings test in two out of three consecutive award years, it can lose eligibility for the federal Direct Loan program. If the program keeps failing for three years, the department says it could also end Title IV eligibility for an institution’s low-earning outcome programs, including Pell Grant eligibility.

The department says the rule is meant to line up new earnings standards in the Working Families Tax Cuts Act with existing Financial Value Transparency and Gainful Employment rules.

Which programs are covered

The Education Department says the final rule applies to nearly all programs and sectors, regardless of whether the school is public, private, nonprofit, or for-profit, and regardless of credential level.

That means the rule is not limited to one part of higher education. It is designed to reach undergraduate certificates, associate degrees, bachelor’s programs, graduate degrees, and other programs that rely on federal student aid.

What schools will have to report

The regulatory text says colleges and universities will have to report program-level and some student-level data to the department. That includes tuition, fees, and financial aid awards such as grants and scholarships.

The department also says it will get earnings data from at least one federal agency. That data will include students who are working and not enrolled during the earnings-measurement year.

Are there any exemptions?

Yes. The department says a school is exempt from automatic loss of Title IV eligibility if it has not participated in the Direct Loan program for the five most recently completed award years.

The rule also exempts institutions that exclusively serve individuals with documented disabilities.

In addition, the department says it will delay consequences for some programs that prepare students for jobs where most workers receive tipped income. The reason, according to the department, is to use earnings data from tax years when the “No Tax on Tips” policy is in effect, starting with the 2026 tax year.

When will the rule matter for students?

The department said the final rule would be on public inspection in the Federal Register on June 30, 2026, and published on July 1, 2026.

NPR reported that the department said it plans to begin calculating the first year of graduate earnings in early 2027, and that some programs could first be labeled low-earning outcome programs in the 2028-2029 financial aid award year.

For students, the practical effect could be that federal aid becomes harder to access for programs the department says do not deliver enough earnings after graduation. For colleges, the rule raises the stakes for how programs are priced, marketed, and measured.

Why this matters

The Education Department is moving beyond simple enrollment and completion counts. The new rule focuses on whether a program gives students a financial return that is better than going straight into the workforce without that credential.

That shift could affect program offerings, especially in fields where graduates traditionally earn less or where tuition is high compared with expected pay. It could also force schools to give students clearer information about cost, aid, and likely earnings before they enroll.

“If a program cannot show that it leaves its graduates financially better off than if they had never enrolled, it should not be underwritten by federal taxpayers.”

The department’s message is that federal aid should support programs that lead to measurable value. The rule now gives Washington a new way to decide which programs meet that standard.

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Melania Abovian